Hawks use proficient shooting to beat Pistons

Basketball Betting Lines

03/13/2010 - Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joe Johnson finished with 26 points, as the Atlanta Hawks used an efficient offensive performance to take a 112-99 victory over the Detroit Pistons.

Josh Smith added 18 points and a career-high 11 assists for the Hawks, who shot a season-high 63 percent and made 7-of-14 from three-point range. Jamal Crawford made all three of his long-distance attempts on his way to 17 points, which helped Atlanta take its second consecutive win.

Jason Maxiell had 19 points and 12 boards for the Pistons, who were coming off Friday's victory over Washington. Will Bynum had a career-best 20 assists in that win, and Saturday, ended with 16 points and seven assists.

Richard Hamilton scored 18 points, but Detroit had just 12 points in the first quarter and never caught up.

"I think that's what hurt us," Pistons head coach John Kuester said. "I thought we were trying, but we were not taking care of the basketball, and they were making us pay on that in the first half."

The Pistons shot just 5-of-20 in the opening frame, allowing the Hawks to open up a huge lead. Atlanta used a 13-0 run to go ahead 28-7, and held a 30-12 advantage moving to the second.

The 12 points were the fewest the Hawks have allowed in the opening quarter this season.

"Any time we can come out of the gate like that, it gives us confidence throughout the game," Johnson said. "That makes us a tough team to beat. When you've got to play catch-up on the road like that, it's always tough."

Atlanta continued to pour on the points, making 15-of-18 field goal attempts in the second quarter. Jeff Teague had the last of those, a jumper with 0.4 seconds left to put the Hawks up 69-41 at the break.

However, the Pistons trimmed their deficit in the third quarter, using an 11-2 run to get within 78-64 with five minutes left.

They trailed 92-77 at the end of the frame, and got within single digits in the middle of the fourth, as consecutive baskets from Kwame Brown and Ben Gordon cut Atlanta's lead to 96-87.

But Johnson countered with a jumper, and after a few failed possessions, a Smith dunk had the Hawks ahead by 13 with 5:20 left. Almost two minutes later, Johnson drained a three before sinking a layup that put Atlanta up 107-91, and the Hawks led by double digits the rest of the way.

Game Notes

Atlanta improved to 26-7 at home this season, while Detroit fell to 7-25 on the road...The Pistons shot 49.3 percent...Gordon had 12 points for Detroit...Al Horford had 15 points for Atlanta, while Marvin Williams added 12.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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